1. Among heavy trucks, tractors and dump trucks will be the main models, and the market share of trucks and vans will gradually shrink. The product structure of foreign enterprises, as well as the product structure of major domestic heavy-duty truck enterprises, is dominated by tractors and dump trucks; the rapid development of expressways also provides space for tractors to play their role in transportation and their efficiency advantages; Considering the needs of users, the needs of users will gradually shift to tractors and dump trucks.
2. Low tonnage medium trucks will dominate the medium truck market.
Low-tonnage medium-sized trucks can be matched with four-cylinder diesel engines. The price advantage is obvious. From the perspective of future development, low-tonnage medium-sized trucks will also obtain a pass for urban operations at an appropriate time, while high-tonnage medium-sized trucks are expected to be excluded.
3. High-tonnage medium-sized trucks and low-tonnage heavy-duty trucks will be in an awkward situation.
This tendency has already started to appear, mainly due to the inefficiency of trucking in these categories. The future outlet of these models will turn to the field of special vehicles, but the configuration will undergo major changes, such as the power level of the engine will be increased, and the axles and gearboxes will also be changed and adjusted accordingly.
4. The main matching power of medium and heavy trucks develops to both ends.
Diesel engines above 11 liters will be foreign-brand diesel engine products of joint ventures and cooperation, and are also one of the main power sources for heavy-duty trucks. Their market size depends on the market demand for high-end trucks and their own cost levels. The domestic 8-9 liter 6-cylinder diesel opportunities will achieve simultaneous growth with high-tonnage heavy trucks, but the production capacity of each product is the biggest obstacle to its market development. Four-cylinder diesel engines below 200 horsepower, which mainly match low-tonnage heavy-duty trucks, will also develop rapidly. At the same time, the market for 7-liter 6-cylinder diesel engines will gradually shrink, and its market dominance will cease to exist.
5. The weight of heavy trucks will increase.
With the diversification of user needs, heavy-duty truck products will develop in a multi-grade direction, which directly leads to an increase in the types and quantities of vehicle parts, and the weight of the vehicle will increase accordingly; Damage to roads, improving the technical content of heavy trucks, etc.) will formulate heavy truck standards, which will increase the number of axles of the vehicle, and the application of new technologies or parts, which will also increase the weight of the vehicle. In 2012, some enterprises developed 10*4 models.